87% of Players Predict GTA 6 Will Win Game of the Year at TGA 2026

A Polymarket prediction market shows 87% of participants betting on the unreleased GTA 6 to take Game of the Year at The Game Awards 2026, with Resident Evil: Requiem a distant second at 7%.

Think it's too early to hand GTA 6 a trophy? Most players apparently don't think so. According to a report from Russian outlet PlayGround.ru, data from Polymarket — the world's largest prediction market — shows a whopping 87% of participants believe the still-unreleased GTA 6 will walk away with Game of the Year at The Game Awards 2026.

As of the article's publication, GTA 6 was dominating the field by a landslide. Resident Evil: Requiem sat in second place with just a 7% chance of winning, while Phantom Blade Zero trailed in third at 3%. If you're a fan of either of those, well... the odds aren't exactly flattering.

For players, that odds table reads less like a betting sheet and more like a wishlist. The same market gives GTA 6 a 70% chance of nabbing Best Game Direction, 55% for Best Narrative, and 53% for Best Audio Design. And the confidence doesn't stop at awards — 96% of participants predict the game will set a day-one sales record, while 100% of them expect its Metacritic score to land above 92. Not a single dissenting vote on that one.

There's also a scheduling wrinkle worth noting. GTA 6 launches shortly before the eligibility window for award nominations closes, which means it could still be in the running this year rather than getting pushed to the next cycle. That timing is a big part of why the hype is bleeding straight into awards predictions.

That said, let's keep our heads on straight here. All of these numbers are just prediction-market expectations. The nominations and final results for The Game Awards 2026 haven't been decided yet, and none of this should be treated as a verdict on the actual ceremony. Markets can be wrong — especially when a game hasn't even shipped.

Still, it's hard to ignore just how lopsided the support is. Whether you think the hype is deserved or completely unhinged, the gaming world has clearly made up its mind about GTA 6 long before launch day.

So what about you — do you think GTA 6 actually takes Game of the Year, or is everyone getting ahead of themselves? Drop your prediction and let us know.